Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.042767 0.049916 0.057777 0.067047 0.077663 0.089423 0.103422
2025-06-01 0.031916 0.041201 0.052359 0.066692 0.084543 0.105968 0.133549
2025-06-08 0.024016 0.033924 0.046804 0.064632 0.088500 0.119162 0.161309
2025-06-15 0.020234 0.030917 0.045782 0.067713 0.098922 0.141351 0.202920
2025-06-22 0.016536 0.027178 0.042944 0.067598 0.104665 0.157672 0.238368
2025-06-29 0.013342 0.023488 0.039426 0.065730 0.107321 0.169595 0.268581
2025-07-06 0.011085 0.020798 0.036905 0.064827 0.111038 0.183142 0.302247
2025-07-13 0.010066 0.019974 0.037196 0.068352 0.121973 0.208630 0.356515
2025-07-20 0.009045 0.018937 0.036923 0.070798 0.131286 0.232300 0.409978
2025-07-27 0.007633 0.016891 0.034519 0.069114 0.133229 0.243890 0.444511
2025-08-03 0.006588 0.015365 0.032821 0.068419 0.136718 0.258244 0.484773
2025-08-10 0.005553 0.013656 0.030488 0.066160 0.136983 0.266838 0.515569
2025-08-17 0.004730 0.012270 0.028633 0.064655 0.138638 0.278335 0.553133
2025-08-24 0.004182 0.011406 0.027734 0.064968 0.143857 0.296883 0.605279
2025-08-31 0.003566 0.010249 0.026006 0.063278 0.144812 0.307384 0.643202
2025-09-07 0.003358 0.010078 0.026485 0.066467 0.156234 0.339251 0.724884
2025-09-14 0.002978 0.009373 0.025596 0.066436 0.160753 0.357723 0.781720
2025-09-21 0.002556 0.008460 0.024047 0.064638 0.161157 0.367780 0.822424
2025-09-28 0.002238 0.007773 0.022953 0.063769 0.163522 0.382076 0.872901
2025-10-05 0.002146 0.007747 0.023582 0.067251 0.176317 0.419669 0.975017
2025-10-12 0.002016 0.007574 0.023783 0.069667 0.186827 0.453133 1.070823
2025-10-19 0.001752 0.006903 0.022495 0.068010 0.187293 0.464376 1.119383
2025-10-26 0.001554 0.006406 0.021618 0.067327 0.190073 0.481034 1.181090